Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Russow vs Todd Duffee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
256 lbsWeight241 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Mike Russow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike RussowNow 1631
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614
Todd DuffeeNow 1601
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.55
Sig. strikes / min
5.93
47%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
60%
Strike defense
57%
4.66
Takedown avg.
0.72
44%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
90%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike RussowTodd Duffee
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
9 (100%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mike Russow and Todd Duffee within a point of even.

Mike Russow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1601, a 30-point edge.

Mike Russow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Russow finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.