Mike Russow vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
256 lbsWeight241 lbs
TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Mike Russow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614
If they win+17→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike RussowTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Todd Duffee67%
Mike Russow 33%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Todd Duffee a 67% favorite over Mike Russow in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Russow's way (46%).
Mike Russow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1605, a 26-point edge.
Mike Russow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Russow finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.