Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Santiago vs Zabit Magomedsharipov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-14-0Record18-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'1"
41,0"Reach42,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Top Notch FitnessTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Zabit Magomedsharipov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mike Santiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike SantiagoNow 1590
If they win+18→ 1608
If they lose-6→ 1584
Zabit MagomedsharipovNow 1770
If they win+8→ 1778
If they lose-24→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
36%
Strike defense
65%
2.66
Takedown avg.
5.22
50%
Takedown accuracy
56%
54%
Takedown defense
78%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Mike SantiagoZabit Magomedsharipov
1600165017001750201820192020

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
11 (50%)
Submission
7 (39%)
4 (18%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zabit Magomedsharipov87%
Mike Santiago 13%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Zabit Magomedsharipov a 87% favorite over Mike Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Zabit Magomedsharipov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1590, a 180-point edge.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mike Santiago finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Zabit Magomedsharipov 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.