Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Stumpf vs Pascal Krauss

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team CurranTeamPeak MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike StumpfNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Pascal KraussNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
5.45
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
8.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
47%
Strike defense
59%
1.59
Takedown avg.
1.53
25%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

Mike StumpfPascal Krauss
1600201120122013

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
7 (64%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Pascal Krauss52%
Mike Stumpf 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pascal Krauss a 52% favorite over Mike Stumpf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Stumpf's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Stumpf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Stumpf finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Pascal Krauss 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.