Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Stumpf vs Wiktor Zalewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team CurranTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike StumpfNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Wiktor ZalewskiNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
1.59
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.80
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike StumpfWiktor Zalewski
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
7 (64%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Wiktor Zalewski66%
Mike Stumpf 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wiktor Zalewski a 66% favorite over Mike Stumpf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Stumpf's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Stumpf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Stumpf finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Wiktor Zalewski 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.