Mike Swick vs Steve Vigneault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steve Vigneault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1709
If they lose-21→ 1677
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike SwickSteve Vigneault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick78%
Steve Vigneault 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 78% favorite over Steve Vigneault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1592, a 106-point edge.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Swick finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Steve Vigneault 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.