Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Swick vs Yushin Okami

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mike Swick
us

Mike Swick

“Quick”

15-6-0WelterweightUFC

1698Good
Yushin Okami
jp

Yushin Okami

“Thunder”

37-15-0MiddleweightShooto

1667Good

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record37-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,5"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamEXFIGHT

What's at stake

Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yushin Okami carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike SwickNow 1698
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1681
Yushin OkamiNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
54%
Strike defense
61%
1.06
Takedown avg.
1.98
50%
Takedown accuracy
39%
62%
Takedown defense
84%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Mike SwickYushin Okami
16501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
14 (39%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (8%)
4 (27%)
Decision
19 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Swick58%
Yushin Okami 42%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 58% favorite over Yushin Okami in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1667, a 31-point edge.

Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Swick finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.