Mike Thomas Brown vs Steven Nguyen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-9-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike Thomas BrownSteven Nguyen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Nguyen70%
Mike Thomas Brown 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Nguyen a 70% favorite over Mike Thomas Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Thomas Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.
Mike Thomas Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Thomas Brown finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Steven Nguyen 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.