Mike Van Arsdale vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
TeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Mike Van Arsdale carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1583
If they lose-9→ 1551
If they win+7→ 1728
If they lose-17→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike Van ArsdaleRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture80%
Mike Van Arsdale 20%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 80% favorite over Mike Van Arsdale in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1560, a 161-point edge.
Mike Van Arsdale enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Van Arsdale finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.