Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Wilkinson vs Niklas Backstrom

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Atherton Submission WrestlingTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Niklas Backstrom is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Wilkinson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike WilkinsonNow 1561
If they win+18→ 1579
If they lose-14→ 1547
Niklas BackstromNow 1606
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-18→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.12
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
36%
Strike defense
40%
0.92
Takedown avg.
2.92
14%
Takedown accuracy
80%
56%
Takedown defense
73%
0.92
Submission avg.
2.19

Trajectory

Mike WilkinsonNiklas Backstrom
155016001650201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
4 (44%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Niklas Backstrom70%
Mike Wilkinson 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Backstrom a 70% favorite over Mike Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Niklas Backstrom holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1561, a 45-point edge.

Mike Wilkinson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Wilkinson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Backstrom 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.