Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Wilkinson vs Wily Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Atherton Submission WrestlingTeamCombat Time

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike WilkinsonNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Wily PereiraNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
36%
Strike defense
TBD
0.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.92
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike WilkinsonWily Pereira
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (44%)
Submission
7 (58%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Wily Pereira70%
Mike Wilkinson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wily Pereira a 70% favorite over Mike Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Wilkinson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Wilkinson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Wily Pereira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.