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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mikuru Asakura vs Mochamed Machaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach-
156 lbsWeight148 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1655 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGym 23· 1617 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mikuru AsakuraNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Mochamed MachaevNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mikuru AsakuraMochamed Machaev
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (11%)
9 (45%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mikuru Asakura64%
Mochamed Machaev 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mikuru Asakura a 64% favorite over Mochamed Machaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1717), separated by just 3 points.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mikuru Asakura finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.