Mikuru Asakura vs Nurullo Aliev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record12-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1634 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKaizen MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mikuru AsakuraNurullo Aliev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mikuru Asakura56%
Nurullo Aliev 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mikuru Asakura a 56% favorite over Nurullo Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1722), separated by just 1 points.
Mikuru Asakura finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.
Nurullo Aliev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.