Combat Edge Intelligence

Miles Johns vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Marathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miles JohnsNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-20→ 1698
Vince MoralesNow 1619
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-9→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
45%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
66%
Strike defense
54%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0.59
2%
Takedown accuracy
40%
78%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Miles JohnsVince Morales
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (13%)
Submission
5 (31%)
9 (56%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Miles Johns83%
Vince Morales 17%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 83% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1619, a 99-point edge.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Miles Johns finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Vince Morales carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.