Miles Johns vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Marathon MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-20→ 1682
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-9→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miles JohnsVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miles Johns71%
Vince Morales 29%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 71% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1617, a 85-point edge.
Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Miles Johns finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Vince Morales carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.