Combat Edge Intelligence

Miles McDonald vs Océane Samson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record3-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'3"
66"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
TeamRing Side Gym

What's at stake

Océane Samson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Miles McDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miles McDonaldNow 1491
If they win+28→ 1519
If they lose-20→ 1471
Océane SamsonNow 1550
If they win+20→ 1570
If they lose-28→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
68%
Strike defense
TBD
0.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Miles McDonaldOcéane Samson
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Océane Samson70%
Miles McDonald 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Océane Samson a 70% favorite over Miles McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Océane Samson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1550 to 1491, a 59-point edge.

Miles McDonald finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Océane Samson 100%.

Miles McDonald carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.