Miloš Janičić vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72.4"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
UFD GymTeamBulgarian Top Team
What's at stake
Miloš Janičić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Noah Gugnon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miloš JaničićNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miloš Janičić61%
Noah Gugnon 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Miloš Janičić a 61% favorite over Noah Gugnon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Miloš Janičić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1648, a 57-point edge.
Miloš Janičić enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Miloš Janičić carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.