Miloš Janičić vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72.4"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
UFD GymTeamBulgarian Top Team
What's at stake
Miloš Janičić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Noah Gugnon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1705
If they lose-17→ 1673
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Miloš JaničićNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miloš Janičić61%
Noah Gugnon 39%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Miloš Janičić a 61% favorite over Noah Gugnon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Miloš Janičić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1672, a 18-point edge.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Miloš Janičić carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.