Combat Edge Intelligence

Minoki Ichihara vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
178 lbsWeight185 lbs
Daido JukuTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Minoki Ichihara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Minoki IchiharaNow 1483
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-15→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Minoki IchiharaOndřej Raška
1450150019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška55%
Minoki Ichihara 45%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 55% favorite over Minoki Ichihara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Minoki Ichihara's way (48%).

Minoki Ichihara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1466, a 17-point edge.

Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.