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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mirko Filipović vs Oleg Popov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

38-11-2Record23-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
73"Reach75.5"
234 lbsWeight250 lbs
Cro Cop Top TeamTeamFedorTeam· 1773 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mirko FilipovićNow 1810
If they win+12→ 1822
If they lose-12→ 1798
Oleg PopovNow 1802
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-12→ 1790

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
0.19
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
78%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.33
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mirko FilipovićOleg Popov
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

30 (79%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
4 (11%)
Submission
3 (13%)
4 (11%)
Decision
11 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Oleg Popov71%
Mirko Filipović 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Oleg Popov a 71% favorite over Mirko Filipović in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mirko Filipović's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1810 vs 1802), separated by just 8 points.

Mirko Filipović enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Oleg Popov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mirko Filipović finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Oleg Popov 52%.

Oleg Popov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.