Mirsad Bektić vs Patryk Kaczmarczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record14-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRadomski Klub Taekwondo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mirsad BektićPatryk Kaczmarczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patryk Kaczmarczyk70%
Mirsad Bektić 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patryk Kaczmarczyk a 70% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patryk Kaczmarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mirsad Bektić finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Patryk Kaczmarczyk 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.