Combat Edge Intelligence

Mirsad Bektić vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach70,5"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

Mirsad Bektić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Russell Doane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mirsad BektićNow 1677
If they win+15→ 1692
If they lose-17→ 1660
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+13→ 1667
If they lose-11→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
58%
Strike defense
54%
3.98
Takedown avg.
2.11
53%
Takedown accuracy
46%
92%
Takedown defense
53%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Mirsad BektićRussell Doane
16501700175020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
3 (23%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (31%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Mirsad Bektić60%
Russell Doane 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Mirsad Bektić a 60% favorite over Russell Doane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Mirsad Bektić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1654, a 23-point edge.

Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mirsad Bektić finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.