Misha Cirkunov vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Misha Cirkunov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Patrick Cummins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1683
If they lose-19→ 1651
If they win+19→ 1621
If they lose-13→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Misha CirkunovPatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Misha Cirkunov66%
Patrick Cummins 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Misha Cirkunov a 66% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Misha Cirkunov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1602, a 68-point edge.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Misha Cirkunov finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Misha Cirkunov and Patrick Cummins share 1 common opponent: Glover Teixeira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.