Combat Edge Intelligence

Misha Cirkunov vs Shamil Gamzatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRussian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Shamil GamzatovNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
52%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
58%
Strike defense
52%
4.15
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
50%
1.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Misha CirkunovShamil Gamzatov
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (53%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Gamzatov52%
Misha Cirkunov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gamzatov a 52% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Misha Cirkunov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Misha Cirkunov finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.