Combat Edge Intelligence

Misha Cirkunov vs Wellington Turman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record18-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach 72"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Misha Cirkunov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Wellington Turman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+13→ 1683
If they lose-19→ 1651
Wellington TurmanNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
52%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
58%
Strike defense
45%
4.15
Takedown avg.
1.55
40%
Takedown accuracy
8%
77%
Takedown defense
43%
1.71
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Misha CirkunovWellington Turman
16001650170020222023

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
8 (53%)
Submission
8 (44%)
2 (13%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Misha Cirkunov53%
Wellington Turman 47%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Misha Cirkunov a 53% favorite over Wellington Turman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Misha Cirkunov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1615, a 55-point edge.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Misha Cirkunov finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.

Misha Cirkunov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.