Combat Edge Intelligence

Mitch Clarke vs Oscar Ownsworth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Clarke
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Mitch Clarke

“Danger Zone”

11-5-0LightweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record10-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach-
154 lbsWeight150 lbs
TeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mitch ClarkeNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.43
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mitch ClarkeOscar Ownsworth
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
7 (64%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth59%
Mitch Clarke 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 59% favorite over Mitch Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Clarke's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mitch Clarke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.