Combat Edge Intelligence

Mitch Gagnon vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65,5"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Troop MMATeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mitch GagnonNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Reece McLarenNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
66%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.93
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mitch GagnonReece McLaren
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
10 (83%)
Submission
9 (47%)
1 (8%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Reece McLaren70%
Mitch Gagnon 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Reece McLaren a 70% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Gagnon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Gagnon finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Reece McLaren carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.