Combat Edge Intelligence

Mitch Gagnon vs Roman Salazar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
65,5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Troop MMATeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Mitch Gagnon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Roman Salazar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mitch GagnonNow 1631
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-19→ 1612
Roman SalazarNow 1555
If they win+19→ 1574
If they lose-13→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
62%
Strike defense
57%
1.16
Takedown avg.
1.77
25%
Takedown accuracy
18%
66%
Takedown defense
50%
1.93
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mitch GagnonRoman Salazar
15501600165020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
10 (83%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Mitch Gagnon58%
Roman Salazar 42%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Gagnon a 58% favorite over Roman Salazar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Mitch Gagnon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1555, a 76-point edge.

Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Gagnon finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Roman Salazar 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.