Mitch Gagnon vs Walel Watson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record15-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
65,5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Troop MMATeamTeam Bodyshop
What's at stake
Mitch Gagnon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Walel Watson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1640
If they lose-23→ 1608
If they win+17→ 1489
If they lose-7→ 1465
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mitch GagnonWalel Watson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitch Gagnon75%
Walel Watson 25%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Gagnon a 75% favorite over Walel Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Mitch Gagnon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1472, a 159-point edge.
Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Walel Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mitch Gagnon finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Walel Watson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.