Mitchell Wilson vs Paul Creighton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Academy MN· 1568 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mitchell WilsonPaul Creighton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitchell Wilson65%
Paul Creighton 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitchell Wilson a 65% favorite over Paul Creighton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1526), separated by just 0 points.
Paul Creighton 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.