Combat Edge Intelligence

Mizuto Hirota vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-11-2Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67,5"Reach67"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
CaveTeamConstrictor Team

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mizuto Hirota carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mizuto HirotaNow 1618
If they win+14→ 1632
If they lose-10→ 1608
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+10→ 1700
If they lose-14→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
41%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
55%
Strike defense
50%
1.36
Takedown avg.
2.73
50%
Takedown accuracy
31%
59%
Takedown defense
29%
0.12
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Mizuto HirotaRani Yahya
16001650170020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
21 (75%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rani Yahya72%
Mizuto Hirota 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Rani Yahya a 72% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1618, a 72-point edge.

Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mizuto Hirota finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.