Mizuto Hirota vs Rodrigo Vargas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-11-2Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
CaveTeamMexican Pride Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mizuto HirotaRodrigo Vargas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mizuto Hirota63%
Rodrigo Vargas 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mizuto Hirota a 63% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.
Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mizuto Hirota finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Vargas 88%.
Rodrigo Vargas carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.