Combat Edge Intelligence

Mizuto Hirota vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-11-2Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
CaveTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mizuto HirotaNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Rustam AsuevNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1.36
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.12
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mizuto HirotaRustam Asuev
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev70%
Mizuto Hirota 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 70% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.

Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mizuto Hirota finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.