Mizuto Hirota vs Teruto Ishihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-2Record14-14-3
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67,5"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
CaveTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Mizuto Hirota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Teruto Ishihara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-8→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mizuto HirotaTeruto Ishihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mizuto Hirota and Teruto Ishihara within a point of even.
Mizuto Hirota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1512, a 110-point edge.
Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mizuto Hirota finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.
Teruto Ishihara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.