Combat Edge Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas vs Rob Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamHybrid Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Modestas BukauskasNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Rob WilkinsonNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
43%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
51%
Strike defense
39%
0.26
Takedown avg.
4.47
67%
Takedown accuracy
25%
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Modestas BukauskasRob Wilkinson
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
3 (15%)
Submission
7 (35%)
6 (30%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Modestas Bukauskas and Rob Wilkinson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1707), separated by just 0 points.

Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.

Rob Wilkinson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.