Modestas Bukauskas vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas60%
Roman Dolidze 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 60% favorite over Roman Dolidze in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roman Dolidze's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1708), separated by just 1 points.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.