Modestas Bukauskas vs Tyson Pedro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tyson Pedro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasTyson Pedro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas76%
Tyson Pedro 24%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 76% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1592, a 115-point edge.
Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Tyson Pedro share 1 common opponent: Vitor Petrino.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.