Modestas Bukauskas vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Modestas Bukauskas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
If they win+13→ 1780
If they lose-19→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino92%
Modestas Bukauskas 8%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1707, a 60-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Vitor Petrino share 2 common opponents: Marcin Prachnio and Tyson Pedro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.