Modestas Bukauskas vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamCM System
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Modestas Bukauskas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
If they win+14→ 1766
If they lose-18→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino61%
Modestas Bukauskas 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 61% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1707, a 45-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 71%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Vitor Petrino share 2 common opponents: Marcin Prachnio and Tyson Pedro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.