Modestas Bukauskas vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-7-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Volkan Oezdemir57%
Modestas Bukauskas 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 57% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Modestas Bukauskas's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1720), separated by just 4 points.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Nikita Krylov and Paul Craig.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.