Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohamed Ado vs Rodrigo Goiana de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record9-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
76.5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
613 Fight FactoryTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohamed AdoNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Rodrigo Goiana de LimaNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.50
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Mohamed AdoRodrigo Goiana de Lima
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Submission
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohamed Ado62%
Rodrigo Goiana de Lima 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohamed Ado a 62% favorite over Rodrigo Goiana de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Goiana de Lima's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.

Mohamed Ado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Goiana de Lima 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.