Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohamed Ado vs Seth Baczynski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Seth Baczynski
us

Seth Baczynski

“The Polish Pistola”

21-16-0MiddleweightNWFA

1554Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
76.5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohamed AdoNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Seth BaczynskiNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
32%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
48%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Mohamed AdoSeth Baczynski
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
4 (67%)
Submission
11 (52%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohamed Ado70%
Seth Baczynski 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohamed Ado a 70% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1554), separated by just 0 points.

Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mohamed Ado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.