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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohamed Soumah vs Tommy Speer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tommy Speer
us

Tommy Speer

“The Farm Boy”

21-7-0WelterweightMFW

1519Average

Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record21-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohamed SoumahNow 1520
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
Tommy SpeerNow 1519
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.56
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
Not available
Strike defense
36%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mohamed SoumahTommy Speer
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mohamed Soumah and Tommy Speer within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1519), separated by just 1 points.

Mohamed Soumah finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Speer 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.