Mohammad Fahmi vs Omar Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Special Fight ClubTeamThe Goat Shed Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mohammad FahmiOmar Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi66%
Omar Morales 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 66% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omar Morales's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mohammad Fahmi finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Omar Morales 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.