Mohammad Fahmi vs Valmir Lazaro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Special Fight ClubTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mohammad FahmiValmir Lazaro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi78%
Valmir Lazaro 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 78% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Mohammad Fahmi finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.