Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Paul Redmond

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record15-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Paul RedmondNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
0.72
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
43%
Strike defense
42%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaPaul Redmond
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (33%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Yahya62%
Paul Redmond 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 62% favorite over Paul Redmond in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Redmond's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Paul Redmond 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.