Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Sean Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record15-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Sean SorianoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
40%
Strike accuracy
62%
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
43%
Strike defense
56%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.33
20%
Takedown accuracy
56%
43%
Takedown defense
53%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaSean Soriano
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (27%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Yahya62%
Sean Soriano 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 62% favorite over Sean Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Soriano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sean Soriano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sean Soriano 80%.

Mohammad Yahya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.