Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Steven Nguyen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mohammad Yahya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1565
If they win+21→ 1586
If they lose-11→ 1554
Steven NguyenNow 1670
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-21→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
7.15
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.36
43%
Strike defense
61%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.28
20%
Takedown accuracy
100%
43%
Takedown defense
85%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaSteven Nguyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Nguyen60%
Mohammad Yahya 40%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Nguyen a 60% favorite over Mohammad Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Steven Nguyen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1565, a 105-point edge.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steven Nguyen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.