Mohammed Amine Moufrij vs Nathan Trepagnier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach67"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed Amine MoufrijNathan Trepagnier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammed Amine Moufrij54%
Nathan Trepagnier 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Amine Moufrij a 54% favorite over Nathan Trepagnier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1505), separated by just 2 points.
Nathan Trepagnier 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.