Mohammed Usman vs Mukhamad Vakhaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record13-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"Reach-
237 lbsWeight266 lbs
War Room Kickboxing & MMATeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed UsmanMukhamad Vakhaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mukhamad Vakhaev60%
Mohammed Usman 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamad Vakhaev a 60% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammed Usman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamad Vakhaev 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.