Mohammed Usman vs RJ Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
79"Reach78"
237 lbsWeight259 lbs
What's at stake
RJ Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Mohammed Usman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601
If they win+22→ 1670
If they lose-26→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed UsmanRJ Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
RJ Harris76%
Mohammed Usman 24%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes RJ Harris a 76% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
RJ Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1615, a 33-point edge.
RJ Harris enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, RJ Harris 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.