Mohammed Usman vs Tim Hague
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record21-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
237 lbsWeight264 lbs
War Room Kickboxing & MMATeamUFC Gym Edmonton
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed UsmanTim Hague
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Hague54%
Mohammed Usman 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Hague a 54% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammed Usman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.
Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tim Hague 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.