Mohammed Usman vs Tsuyoshi Sudario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
79"Reach76"
237 lbsWeight261 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed UsmanTsuyoshi Sudario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tsuyoshi Sudario73%
Mohammed Usman 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tsuyoshi Sudario a 73% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.
Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Sudario 90%.
Mohammed Usman and Tsuyoshi Sudario share 1 common opponent: Junior Tafa.
Mohammed Usman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.