Moktar Benkaci vs Tony Kelley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-11-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
Team Thai Boxing IstresTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Moktar BenkaciTony Kelley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Moktar Benkaci51%
Tony Kelley 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Moktar Benkaci a 51% favorite over Tony Kelley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.
Moktar Benkaci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Moktar Benkaci finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Tony Kelley 75%.
Tony Kelley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.